2 supported platforms · Market outcome
When will Google release Gemini 3.5 pro — Before Aug 31, 2026?
Before Aug 31, 2026
Super Match links compatible published offers for When will Google release Gemini 3.5 pro — Before Aug 31, 2026 from Kalshi and Manifold. YES and NO offers are compared separately so the direction of every source quote is preserved. Open the original markets to confirm the latest price, wording, deadline and settlement rules.
ManifoldOpen original source ↗ManifoldOpen original source ↗Before Aug 31, 2026
62.7%
Not before Aug 31, 2026
39.3%
Manifold currently has the best displayed offers on both sides.
Compatibility
What matches — and what may differ
What matches
- Super Match has published these source markets under the same comparison proposition.
- The displayed outcome or contract is linked back to the original platform evidence.
- The comparison includes at least two supported platforms in the active publication.
What may differ
- Eligibility, fees, limits, deadlines and settlement procedures can remain platform-specific.
- Displayed values may have changed since this catalogue snapshot was produced.
Source evidence
Report a mismatchOriginal markets and contract wording
Rules may differ. The source pages below are the definitive evidence for wording, eligibility, closing time and settlement.
KalshiWhen will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro?
Before Aug 31, 20269.0%Not Before Aug 31, 202693.0%
- Closes
- 31 Aug 2026
- Quote type
- Source order-book offer
ManifoldWhen will Google release Gemini 3.5 pro?
Before Aug 31, 202662.7%Not Before Aug 31, 202639.3%
- Closes
- 31 Dec 2026
- Quote type
- Indicative
Independent market research
Displayed values are source observations captured for the publication and may include executable-style offers or platform-reported indicative probabilities. They may have changed since observation. Apparent differences do not establish that transactions could be executed simultaneously or profitably. Contract wording, eligibility, fees, limits and settlement processes remain platform-specific.
Before Aug 31, 2026 and Not before Aug 31, 2026 spreads
| Contract | Best Before Aug 31, 2026 | Before Aug 31, 2026 spread | Best Not before Aug 31, 2026 | Not before Aug 31, 2026 spread | Platforms |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| When will Google release Gemini 3.5 pro? - Before Aug 31, 2026Before Aug 31, 2026 | 62.7% Manifold ↗ | — | 39.3% Manifold ↗ | — | 2 |
Details and methodology
How this science and technology prediction market was compared
For When will Google release Gemini 3.5 pro — Before Aug 31, 2026, Prediction Market Radar aligned compatible source markets from Kalshi and Manifold around the same scientific or technological milestone. The YES and NO sides are retained separately so prices are not attached to the wrong outcome. Differences may still reflect new evidence, technical definitions, announcement timing and market depth. Before acting, verify milestone definition, measurement standard, deadline and authoritative source on every source platform.
- Topic
- Technology
- Outcomes
- 1
Market context
What Super Match checks
Super Match keeps source wording, outcomes, deadlines and settlement evidence attached to each offer. Similar headlines are not treated as equivalent when those details conflict.
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