2 supported platforms · Market outcome
Tesla releases Optimus by — Dec 31
Dec 31
Super Match links compatible published offers for Tesla releases Optimus by — Dec 31 from Polymarket and Pascal. YES and NO offers are compared separately so the direction of every source quote is preserved. Open the original markets to confirm the latest price, wording, deadline and settlement rules.
Dec 31
9.0%
Not Dec 31
92.0%
Polymarket currently has the best displayed offers on both sides.
Compatibility
What matches — and what may differ
What matches
- Super Match has published these source markets under the same comparison proposition.
- The displayed outcome or contract is linked back to the original platform evidence.
- The comparison includes at least two supported platforms in the active publication.
What may differ
- Eligibility, fees, limits, deadlines and settlement procedures can remain platform-specific.
- Displayed values may have changed since this catalogue snapshot was produced.
Source evidence
Report a mismatchOriginal markets and contract wording
Rules may differ. The source pages below are the definitive evidence for wording, eligibility, closing time and settlement.
PolymarketWill Tesla release Optimus by...?
Dec 319.0%Not Dec 3192.0%
- Closes
- 1 Jan 2027
- Quote type
- Source order-book offer
PascalTesla releases Optimus by
Dec 319.6%Not Dec 3192.6%
- Closes
- 1 Jan 2027
- Quote type
- Source order-book offer
Independent market research
Displayed values are source observations captured for the publication and may include executable-style offers or platform-reported indicative probabilities. They may have changed since observation. Apparent differences do not establish that transactions could be executed simultaneously or profitably. Contract wording, eligibility, fees, limits and settlement processes remain platform-specific.
Dec 31 and Not Dec 31 spreads
| Contract | Best Dec 31 | Dec 31 spread | Best Not Dec 31 | Not Dec 31 spread | Platforms |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tesla releases Optimus by - Dec 31Dec 31 | 9.0% Polymarket ↗ | 0.6% | 92.0% Polymarket ↗ | 0.6% | 2 |
Details and methodology
How this science and technology prediction market was compared
For Tesla releases Optimus by — Dec 31, Prediction Market Radar aligned compatible source markets from Polymarket and Pascal around the same scientific or technological milestone. The YES and NO sides are retained separately so prices are not attached to the wrong outcome. Differences may still reflect new evidence, technical definitions, announcement timing and market depth. Before acting, verify milestone definition, measurement standard, deadline and authoritative source on every source platform.
- Topic
- Technology
- Participating platforms
- PolymarketPascal
- Outcomes
- 1
Market context
What Super Match checks
Super Match keeps source wording, outcomes, deadlines and settlement evidence attached to each offer. Similar headlines are not treated as equivalent when those details conflict.
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