2 supported platforms · Multi-outcome event
GPT-6 released by
Dec 31
Super Match links compatible published offers for GPT-6 released by from Polymarket and Pascal. Each named outcome remains separate so an offer is never attached to the wrong choice. Open the original markets to confirm the latest price, wording, deadline and settlement rules.
How to read this event
Each row is a separate named outcome. The indicative midpoint is the centre of the YES range across compatible sources; it is not a guaranteed executable price and the displayed candidates may not form a complete 100% book.
Comparison summary
Report a mismatchComparable outcome field
| Outcome | Midpoint | YES range | Best YES | Sources | Review |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31GPT-6 released by - Dec 31 | 70.8% | 70.6%–71.0% | YES 70.6% Pascal ↗ | | |
| Sep 30GPT-6 released by - Sep 30 | 36.3% | 36.0%–36.6% | YES 36.0% Polymarket ↗ | | |
| Aug 31GPT-6 released by - Aug 31 | 1.4% | 1.3%–1.4% | YES 1.3% Pascal ↗ | |
Compatibility
What matches — and what may differ
What matches
- Super Match has published these source markets under the same comparison proposition.
- The displayed outcome or contract is linked back to the original platform evidence.
- The comparison includes at least two supported platforms in the active publication.
What may differ
- Eligibility, fees, limits, deadlines and settlement procedures can remain platform-specific.
- Displayed values may have changed since this catalogue snapshot was produced.
Source evidence
Report a mismatchOriginal markets and contract wording
Rules may differ. The source pages below are the definitive evidence for wording, eligibility, closing time and settlement.
PolymarketGPT-6 released by…?
Aug 311.4%Not Aug 3198.9%
Dec 3171.0%Not Dec 3131.0%
Sep 3036.0%Not Sep 3065.0%
- Closes
- 1 Jan 2027
- Quote type
- Source order-book offer
PascalGPT-6 released by
Aug 311.3%Not Aug 3199.2%
Dec 3170.6%Not Dec 3131.6%
Sep 3036.6%Not Sep 3065.6%
- Closes
- 1 Sep 2026
- Quote type
- Source order-book offer
Independent market research
Displayed values are source observations captured for the publication and may include executable-style offers or platform-reported indicative probabilities. They may have changed since observation. Apparent differences do not establish that transactions could be executed simultaneously or profitably. Contract wording, eligibility, fees, limits and settlement processes remain platform-specific.
Outcome-level source ranges
Outcome ranges and best source values are shown in the Summary table above so each named contract remains aligned with its source evidence.
Details and methodology
How this science and technology prediction market was compared
For GPT-6 released by, Prediction Market Radar aligned compatible source markets from Polymarket and Pascal around the same scientific or technological milestone. Each named outcome is retained separately so prices are not attached to the wrong outcome. Differences may still reflect new evidence, technical definitions, announcement timing and market depth. Before acting, verify milestone definition, measurement standard, deadline and authoritative source on every source platform.
- Topic
- Technology
- Participating platforms
- PolymarketPascal
- Outcomes
- 3
Market context
What Super Match checks
Super Match keeps source wording, outcomes, deadlines and settlement evidence attached to each offer. Similar headlines are not treated as equivalent when those details conflict.
Keep exploring