2 supported platforms · Named-choice event
NASA lands on the moon
Before 2028
Super Match links compatible published offers for NASA lands on the moon from Kalshi and Gemini Predictions. Each named outcome remains separate so an offer is never attached to the wrong choice. Open the original markets to confirm the latest price, wording, deadline and settlement rules.
How to read this event
Each row is a separate named outcome. The indicative midpoint is the centre of the YES range across compatible sources; it is not a guaranteed executable price and the displayed candidates may not form a complete 100% book.
Comparison summary
Report a mismatchComparable outcome field
| Outcome | Midpoint | YES range | Best YES | Sources | Review |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before 2028NASA lands on the moon? - Before 2028 | 2.7% | 2.4%–3.0% | YES 2.4% Kalshi ↗ | | |
| Before 2027NASA lands on the moon? - Before 2027 | 1.5% | 1.0%–2.0% | YES 1.0% Kalshi ↗ | |
Compatibility
What matches — and what may differ
What matches
- Super Match has published these source markets under the same comparison proposition.
- The displayed outcome or contract is linked back to the original platform evidence.
- The comparison includes at least two supported platforms in the active publication.
What may differ
- Eligibility, fees, limits, deadlines and settlement procedures can remain platform-specific.
- Displayed values may have changed since this catalogue snapshot was produced.
Source evidence
Report a mismatchOriginal markets and contract wording
Rules may differ. The source pages below are the definitive evidence for wording, eligibility, closing time and settlement.
KalshiNASA lands on the moon?
Before 20271.0%Not Before 202799.4%
Before 20282.4%Not Before 202897.9%
- Closes
- 31 Dec 2029
- Quote type
- Source order-book offer
Gemini PredictionsNASA lands on the moon?
Before 20272.0%Not Before 202799.0%
Before 20283.0%Not Before 202898.0%
- Closes
- 1 Jan 2028
- Quote type
- Source order-book offer
Independent market research
Displayed values are source observations captured for the publication and may include executable-style offers or platform-reported indicative probabilities. They may have changed since observation. Apparent differences do not establish that transactions could be executed simultaneously or profitably. Contract wording, eligibility, fees, limits and settlement processes remain platform-specific.
Outcome-level source ranges
Outcome ranges and best source values are shown in the Summary table above so each named contract remains aligned with its source evidence.
Details and methodology
How this science and technology prediction market was compared
For NASA lands on the moon, Prediction Market Radar aligned compatible source markets from Kalshi and Gemini Predictions around the same scientific or technological milestone. Each named outcome is retained separately so prices are not attached to the wrong outcome. Differences may still reflect new evidence, technical definitions, announcement timing and market depth. Before acting, verify milestone definition, measurement standard, deadline and authoritative source on every source platform.
- Topic
- Technology
- Participating platforms
- KalshiGemini Predictions
- Outcomes
- 2
Market context
What Super Match checks
Super Match keeps source wording, outcomes, deadlines and settlement evidence attached to each offer. Similar headlines are not treated as equivalent when those details conflict.
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