2 supported platforms · Named-choice event
Fed rate hike by...?
October Meeting
Super Match links compatible published offers for Fed rate hike by from Polymarket and Manifold. Each named outcome remains separate so an offer is never attached to the wrong choice. Open the original markets to confirm the latest price, wording, deadline and settlement rules.
How to read this event
Each row is a separate named outcome. The indicative midpoint is the centre of the YES range across compatible sources; it is not a guaranteed executable price and the displayed candidates may not form a complete 100% book.
Comparison summary
Report a mismatchComparable outcome field
| Outcome | Midpoint | YES range | Best YES | Sources | Review |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October MeetingFed rate hike by...? - October Meeting | 39.4% | 39.4%–39.4% | YES 39.4% Manifold ↗ | | |
| September MeetingFed rate hike by...? - September Meeting | 30.7% | 30.7%–30.7% | YES 30.7% Manifold ↗ | |
Compatibility
What matches — and what may differ
What matches
- Super Match has published these source markets under the same comparison proposition.
- The displayed outcome or contract is linked back to the original platform evidence.
- The comparison includes at least two supported platforms in the active publication.
What may differ
- Eligibility, fees, limits, deadlines and settlement procedures can remain platform-specific.
- Displayed values may have changed since this catalogue snapshot was produced.
Source evidence
Report a mismatchOriginal markets and contract wording
Rules may differ. The source pages below are the definitive evidence for wording, eligibility, closing time and settlement.
PolymarketFed rate hike by...?
October Meeting41.0%Not October Meeting60.0%
September Meeting31.0%Not September Meeting70.0%
- Closes
- 29 Oct 2026
- Quote type
- Source order-book offer
ManifoldFed rate hike by...? [Polymarket]
October Meeting39.4%Not October Meeting62.6%
September Meeting30.7%Not September Meeting71.3%
- Closes
- 10 Dec 2026
- Quote type
- Indicative
Independent market research
Displayed values are source observations captured for the publication and may include executable-style offers or platform-reported indicative probabilities. They may have changed since observation. Apparent differences do not establish that transactions could be executed simultaneously or profitably. Contract wording, eligibility, fees, limits and settlement processes remain platform-specific.
Outcome-level source ranges
Outcome ranges and best source values are shown in the Summary table above so each named contract remains aligned with its source evidence.
Details and methodology
How this economic prediction market was compared
For Fed rate hike by, Prediction Market Radar aligned compatible source markets from Polymarket and Manifold around the same economic release or policy outcome. Each named outcome is retained separately so prices are not attached to the wrong outcome. Differences may still reflect data releases, policy expectations, survey revisions, timing and liquidity. Before acting, verify data series, release period, threshold, revision policy and authoritative publisher on every source platform.
- Topic
- Other
- Participating platforms
- PolymarketManifold
- Outcomes
- 2
Market context
What Super Match checks
Super Match keeps source wording, outcomes, deadlines and settlement evidence attached to each offer. Similar headlines are not treated as equivalent when those details conflict.
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