2 supported platforms · Multi-outcome event
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by
Dec 31
Super Match links compatible published offers for Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by from Polymarket and Pascal. Each named outcome remains separate so an offer is never attached to the wrong choice. Open the original markets to confirm the latest price, wording, deadline and settlement rules.
How to read this event
Each row is a separate named outcome. The indicative midpoint is the centre of the YES range across compatible sources; it is not a guaranteed executable price and the displayed candidates may not form a complete 100% book.
Comparison summary
Report a mismatchComparable outcome field
| Outcome | Midpoint | YES range | Best YES | Sources | Review |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by - Dec 31 | 19.3% | 19.0%–19.6% | YES 19.0% Polymarket ↗ | | |
| Sep 30Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by - Sep 30 | 7.8% | 7.0%–8.6% | YES 7.0% Polymarket ↗ | | |
| Aug 31Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by - Aug 31 | 0.9% | 0.9%–0.9% | YES 0.9% Polymarket ↗ | |
Compatibility
What matches — and what may differ
What matches
- Super Match has published these source markets under the same comparison proposition.
- The displayed outcome or contract is linked back to the original platform evidence.
- The comparison includes at least two supported platforms in the active publication.
What may differ
- Eligibility, fees, limits, deadlines and settlement procedures can remain platform-specific.
- Displayed values may have changed since this catalogue snapshot was produced.
Source evidence
Report a mismatchOriginal markets and contract wording
Rules may differ. The source pages below are the definitive evidence for wording, eligibility, closing time and settlement.
PolymarketBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
Aug 310.9%Not Aug 3199.2%
Dec 3119.0%Not Dec 3182.0%
Sep 307.0%Not Sep 3094.0%
- Closes
- 1 Jan 2027
- Quote type
- Source order-book offer
PascalBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by
Aug 310.9%Not Aug 3199.2%
Dec 3119.6%Not Dec 3182.6%
Sep 308.6%Not Sep 3094.6%
- Closes
- 1 Sep 2026
- Quote type
- Source order-book offer
Independent market research
Displayed values are source observations captured for the publication and may include executable-style offers or platform-reported indicative probabilities. They may have changed since observation. Apparent differences do not establish that transactions could be executed simultaneously or profitably. Contract wording, eligibility, fees, limits and settlement processes remain platform-specific.
Outcome-level source ranges
Outcome ranges and best source values are shown in the Summary table above so each named contract remains aligned with its source evidence.
Details and methodology
How this prediction market comparison was compared
For Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by, Prediction Market Radar aligned compatible source markets from Polymarket and Pascal around the same real-world event or outcome. Each named outcome is retained separately so prices are not attached to the wrong outcome. Differences may still reflect new information, participants, wording, deadlines and market liquidity. Before acting, verify exact proposition, outcome wording, deadline and resolution source on every source platform.
- Topic
- World Affairs
- Participating platforms
- PolymarketPascal
- Outcomes
- 3
Market context
What Super Match checks
Super Match keeps source wording, outcomes, deadlines and settlement evidence attached to each offer. Similar headlines are not treated as equivalent when those details conflict.
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