Super Match links compatible published offers for Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms from Polymarket and Pascal. Each named outcome remains separate so an offer is never attached to the wrong choice. Open the original markets to confirm the latest price, wording, deadline and settlement rules.

Platforms2participating sources

Closing date3 Nov 2026published comparison close

Comparable outcomes22validated outcome rows

How to read this event

Each row is a separate named outcome. The indicative midpoint is the centre of the YES range across compatible sources; it is not a guaranteed executable price and the displayed candidates may not form a complete 100% book.

Comparison summary

Comparable outcome field

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Outcome	Midpoint	YES range	Best YES	Sources
FloridaWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? - Florida	99.3%	99.0%–99.6%	YES 99.0% Polymarket ↗	2 linked sources
TexasWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? - Texas	99.2%	98.9%–99.4%	YES 98.9% Polymarket ↗	2 linked sources
CaliforniaWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? - California	98.8%	98.7%–98.9%	YES 98.7% Polymarket ↗	2 linked sources
North CarolinaWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? - North Carolina	97.2%	96.9%–97.4%	YES 96.9% Polymarket ↗	2 linked sources
OhioWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? - Ohio	97.1%	96.7%–97.5%	YES 96.7% Pascal ↗	2 linked sources
LouisianaWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? - Louisiana	94.0%	94.0%–94.0%	YES 94.0% Polymarket ↗	2 linked sources
AlabamaWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? - Alabama	92.0%	92.0%–92.0%	YES 92.0% Polymarket ↗	2 linked sources
UtahWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? - Utah	91.0%	91.0%–91.0%	YES 91.0% Polymarket ↗	2 linked sources
MissouriWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? - Missouri	86.3%	86.0%–86.6%	YES 86.0% Polymarket ↗	2 linked sources
NebraskaWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? - Nebraska	38.6%	6.3%–70.8%	YES 6.3% Polymarket ↗	2 linked sources
WisconsinWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? - Wisconsin	32.1%	2.5%–61.6%	YES 2.5% Polymarket ↗	2 linked sources
IllinoisWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? - Illinois	32.0%	3.6%–60.3%	YES 3.6% Polymarket ↗	2 linked sources
WashingtonWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? - Washington	6.7%	3.9%–9.4%	YES 3.9% Polymarket ↗	2 linked sources
VirginiaWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? - Virginia	6.3%	5.9%–6.6%	YES 5.9% Polymarket ↗	2 linked sources
MinnesotaWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? - Minnesota	6.2%	6.0%–6.3%	YES 6.0% Polymarket ↗	2 linked sources
GeorgiaWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? - Georgia	6.1%	6.0%–6.1%	YES 6.0% Polymarket ↗	2 linked sources
MarylandWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? - Maryland	5.7%	5.4%–6.0%	YES 5.4% Polymarket ↗	2 linked sources
New JerseyWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? - New Jersey	5.7%	5.1%–6.3%	YES 5.1% Polymarket ↗	2 linked sources
New YorkWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? - New York	5.6%	5.6%–5.6%	YES 5.6% Polymarket ↗	2 linked sources
IndianaWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? - Indiana	5.3%	5.0%–5.6%	YES 5.0% Polymarket ↗	2 linked sources
KansasWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? - Kansas	3.9%	3.4%–4.3%	YES 3.4% Polymarket ↗	2 linked sources
South CarolinaWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? - South Carolina	2.3%	0.2%–4.3%	YES 0.2% Polymarket ↗	2 linked sources

Compatibility

What matches — and what may differ

What matches

Super Match has published these source markets under the same comparison proposition.
The displayed outcome or contract is linked back to the original platform evidence.
The comparison includes at least two supported platforms in the active publication.

What may differ

Eligibility, fees, limits, deadlines and settlement procedures can remain platform-specific.
Displayed values may have changed since this catalogue snapshot was produced.

Source evidence

Original markets and contract wording

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Rules may differ. The source pages below are the definitive evidence for wording, eligibility, closing time and settlement.

Polymarket

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Alabama92.0%Not Alabama10.0%

California98.7%Not California4.1%

Florida99.0%Not Florida2.4%

Georgia6.0%Not Georgia94.6%

Illinois3.6%Not Illinois98.8%

Indiana5.0%Not Indiana96.0%

Kansas3.4%Not Kansas99.0%

Louisiana94.0%Not Louisiana9.0%

Maryland5.4%Not Maryland96.9%

Minnesota6.0%Not Minnesota96.0%

Missouri86.0%Not Missouri17.0%

Nebraska6.3%Not Nebraska96.1%

New Jersey5.1%Not New Jersey97.1%

New York5.6%Not New York97.9%

North Carolina96.9%Not North Carolina4.2%

Ohio97.5%Not Ohio6.1%

South Carolina0.2%Not South Carolina99.9%

Texas98.9%Not Texas2.1%

Utah91.0%Not Utah10.0%

Virginia5.9%Not Virginia96.8%

Washington3.9%Not Washington98.0%

Wisconsin2.5%Not Wisconsin97.6%

Closes: 3 Nov 2026
Quote type: Source order-book offer

Pascal

States using new 2026 congressional maps

Alabama92.0%Not Alabama10.0%

California98.9%Not California4.7%

Florida99.6%Not Florida3.0%

Georgia6.1%Not Georgia94.7%

Illinois60.3%Not Illinois99.9%

Indiana5.6%Not Indiana96.0%

Kansas4.3%

Louisiana94.0%Not Louisiana9.0%

Maryland6.0%Not Maryland97.4%

Minnesota6.3%Not Minnesota96.4%

Missouri86.6%Not Missouri17.6%

Nebraska70.8%Not Nebraska96.6%

New Jersey6.3%Not New Jersey97.2%

New York5.6%Not New York98.0%

North Carolina97.4%Not North Carolina5.0%

Ohio96.7%Not Ohio7.2%

South Carolina4.3%

Texas99.4%Not Texas54.8%

Utah91.0%Not Utah10.0%

Virginia6.6%Not Virginia96.6%

Washington9.4%Not Washington98.6%

Wisconsin61.6%Not Wisconsin98.2%

Closes: 3 Nov 2026
Quote type: Source order-book offer

Independent market research

Displayed values are source observations captured for the publication and may include executable-style offers or platform-reported indicative probabilities. They may have changed since observation. Apparent differences do not establish that transactions could be executed simultaneously or profitably. Contract wording, eligibility, fees, limits and settlement processes remain platform-specific.

Detailed spreads

Outcome-level source ranges

Outcome ranges and best source values are shown in the Summary table above so each named contract remains aligned with its source evidence.

Details and methodology

How this prediction market comparison was compared

For Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms, Prediction Market Radar aligned compatible source markets from Polymarket and Pascal around the same real-world event or outcome. Each named outcome is retained separately so prices are not attached to the wrong outcome. Differences may still reflect new information, participants, wording, deadlines and market liquidity. Before acting, verify exact proposition, outcome wording, deadline and resolution source on every source platform.

Topic: Politics & Elections
Participating platforms: Polymarket Pascal
Outcomes: 22

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