2 supported platforms · Multi-outcome event
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Super Match links compatible published offers for Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 from Polymarket and Kalshi. Each named outcome remains separate so an offer is never attached to the wrong choice. Open the original markets to confirm the latest price, wording, deadline and settlement rules.
How to read this event
Each row is a separate named outcome. The indicative midpoint is the centre of the YES range across compatible sources; it is not a guaranteed executable price and the displayed candidates may not form a complete 100% book.
Comparison summary
Report a mismatchComparable outcome field
| Outcome | Midpoint | YES range | Best YES | Sources | Review |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandria Ocasio-CortezDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 - Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 20.5% | 18.0%–23.0% | YES 18.0% Kalshi ↗ | | |
| Jon OssoffDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 - Jon Ossoff | 16.5% | 14.9%–18.0% | YES 14.9% Polymarket ↗ | | |
| Gavin NewsomDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 - Gavin Newsom | 15.1% | 15.0%–15.1% | YES 15.0% Kalshi ↗ | | |
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 - Kamala Harris | 8.2% | 7.5%–8.9% | YES 7.5% Polymarket ↗ | | |
| Pete ButtigiegDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 - Pete Buttigieg | 5.1% | 4.8%–5.3% | YES 4.8% Kalshi ↗ | | |
| Josh ShapiroDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 - Josh Shapiro | 4.8% | 4.6%–5.0% | YES 4.6% Kalshi ↗ | | |
| Mark KellyDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 - Mark Kelly | 4.3% | 3.2%–5.3% | YES 3.2% Polymarket ↗ | | |
| Rahm EmanuelDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 - Rahm Emanuel | 3.1% | 2.4%–3.7% | YES 2.4% Polymarket ↗ | | |
| Andy BeshearDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 - Andy Beshear | 3.0% | 2.3%–3.6% | YES 2.3% Polymarket ↗ | | |
| Ro KhannaDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 - Ro Khanna | 2.2% | 2.1%–2.3% | YES 2.1% Kalshi ↗ | | |
| Wes MooreDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 - Wes Moore | 2.1% | 1.6%–2.6% | YES 1.6% Polymarket ↗ | | |
| James TalaricoDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 - James Talarico | 2.0% | 1.7%–2.3% | YES 1.7% Kalshi ↗ | | |
| J.B. PritzkerDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 - J.B. Pritzker | 1.5% | 1.2%–1.8% | YES 1.2% Polymarket ↗ | | |
| Michelle ObamaDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 - Michelle Obama | 1.0% | 0.7%–1.2% | YES 0.7% Polymarket ↗ | | |
| Gretchen WhitmerDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 - Gretchen Whitmer | 0.9% | 0.8%–0.9% | YES 0.8% Polymarket ↗ | | |
| Jon StewartDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 - Jon Stewart | 0.8% | 0.7%–0.8% | YES 0.7% Polymarket ↗ | | |
| Raphael WarnockDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 - Raphael Warnock | 0.8% | 0.7%–0.8% | YES 0.7% Polymarket ↗ | | |
| Mark CubanDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 - Mark Cuban | 0.7% | 0.6%–0.8% | YES 0.6% Polymarket ↗ | | |
| Chris MurphyDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 - Chris Murphy | 0.6% | 0.5%–0.7% | YES 0.5% Polymarket ↗ | | |
| Cory BookerDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 - Cory Booker | 0.6% | 0.6%–0.6% | YES 0.6% Polymarket ↗ | | |
| Bernie SandersDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 - Bernie Sanders | 0.5% | 0.5%–0.5% | YES 0.5% Polymarket ↗ | | |
| Hunter BidenDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 - Hunter Biden | 0.5% | 0.5%–0.5% | YES 0.5% Polymarket ↗ | | |
| Stephen A. SmithDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 - Stephen A. Smith | 0.5% | 0.4%–0.6% | YES 0.4% Polymarket ↗ | | |
| Elissa SlotkinDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 - Elissa Slotkin | 0.4% | 0.3%–0.5% | YES 0.3% Polymarket ↗ | | |
| Ruben GallegoDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 - Ruben Gallego | 0.4% | 0.3%–0.5% | YES 0.3% Polymarket ↗ | | |
| Roy CooperDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 - Roy Cooper | 0.4% | 0.3%–0.4% | YES 0.3% Kalshi ↗ | | |
| Barack ObamaDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 - Barack Obama | 0.3% | 0.3%–0.3% | YES 0.3% Polymarket ↗ | | |
| John FettermanDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 - John Fetterman | 0.3% | 0.2%–0.4% | YES 0.2% Kalshi ↗ | | |
| Zohran MamdaniDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 - Zohran Mamdani | 0.3% | 0.2%–0.4% | YES 0.2% Kalshi ↗ | | |
| Andrew YangDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 - Andrew Yang | 0.2% | 0.2%–0.2% | YES 0.2% Polymarket ↗ | | |
| Gina RaimondoDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 - Gina Raimondo | 0.2% | 0.1%–0.3% | YES 0.1% Kalshi ↗ | | |
| Hillary ClintonDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 - Hillary Clinton | 0.2% | 0.2%–0.2% | YES 0.2% Polymarket ↗ | | |
| Jared PolisDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 - Jared Polis | 0.2% | 0.2%–0.2% | YES 0.2% Polymarket ↗ | | |
| Jasmine CrockettDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 - Jasmine Crockett | 0.2% | 0.1%–0.3% | YES 0.1% Kalshi ↗ | | |
| LeBron JamesDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 - LeBron James | 0.2% | 0.1%–0.3% | YES 0.1% Kalshi ↗ | | |
| Liz CheneyDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 - Liz Cheney | 0.2% | 0.1%–0.3% | YES 0.1% Kalshi ↗ | | |
| Graham PlatnerDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 - Graham Platner | 0.2% | 0.1%–0.2% | YES 0.1% Kalshi ↗ | | |
| Phil MurphyDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 - Phil Murphy | 0.2% | 0.1%–0.2% | YES 0.1% Kalshi ↗ | | |
| Tim WalzDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028 - Tim Walz | 0.2% | 0.1%–0.2% | YES 0.1% Kalshi ↗ | |
Compatibility
What matches — and what may differ
What matches
- Super Match has published these source markets under the same comparison proposition.
- The displayed outcome or contract is linked back to the original platform evidence.
- The comparison includes at least two supported platforms in the active publication.
What may differ
- Eligibility, fees, limits, deadlines and settlement procedures can remain platform-specific.
- Displayed values may have changed since this catalogue snapshot was produced.
Source evidence
Report a mismatchOriginal markets and contract wording
Rules may differ. The source pages below are the definitive evidence for wording, eligibility, closing time and settlement.
PolymarketDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez23.0%Not Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez77.2%
Andrew Yang0.2%Not Andrew Yang99.9%
Andy Beshear2.3%Not Andy Beshear97.8%
Barack Obama0.3%Not Barack Obama99.8%
Bernie Sanders0.5%Not Bernie Sanders99.6%
Chris Murphy0.5%Not Chris Murphy99.7%
Cory Booker0.6%Not Cory Booker99.5%
Elissa Slotkin0.3%Not Elissa Slotkin99.8%
Gavin Newsom15.1%Not Gavin Newsom85.0%
Gina Raimondo0.3%Not Gina Raimondo99.8%
Graham Platner0.2%Not Graham Platner99.9%
Gretchen Whitmer0.8%Not Gretchen Whitmer99.3%
Hillary Clinton0.2%Not Hillary Clinton99.9%
Hunter Biden0.5%Not Hunter Biden99.6%
J.B. Pritzker1.2%Not J.B. Pritzker98.9%
James Talarico2.3%Not James Talarico97.8%
Jared Polis0.2%Not Jared Polis99.9%
Jasmine Crockett0.3%Not Jasmine Crockett99.8%
John Fetterman0.4%Not John Fetterman99.7%
Jon Ossoff14.9%Not Jon Ossoff85.2%
Jon Stewart0.7%Not Jon Stewart99.5%
Josh Shapiro5.0%Not Josh Shapiro95.1%
Kamala Harris7.5%Not Kamala Harris92.6%
LeBron James0.3%Not LeBron James99.8%
Liz Cheney0.3%Not Liz Cheney99.8%
Mark Cuban0.6%Not Mark Cuban99.5%
Mark Kelly3.2%Not Mark Kelly97.0%
Michelle Obama0.7%Not Michelle Obama99.4%
Pete Buttigieg5.3%Not Pete Buttigieg94.8%
Phil Murphy0.2%Not Phil Murphy99.9%
Rahm Emanuel2.4%Not Rahm Emanuel97.7%
Raphael Warnock0.7%Not Raphael Warnock99.5%
Ro Khanna2.3%Not Ro Khanna97.8%
Roy Cooper0.4%Not Roy Cooper99.7%
Ruben Gallego0.3%Not Ruben Gallego99.8%
Stephen A. Smith0.4%Not Stephen A. Smith99.8%
Tim Walz0.2%Not Tim Walz99.9%
Wes Moore1.6%Not Wes Moore98.6%
Zohran Mamdani0.4%Not Zohran Mamdani99.7%
- Closes
- 7 Nov 2028
- Quote type
- Source order-book offer
Kalshi2028 Democratic presidential nominee
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18.0%Not Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez83.0%
Andrew Yang0.2%Not Andrew Yang99.9%
Andy Beshear3.6%Not Andy Beshear96.5%
Barack Obama0.3%Not Barack Obama99.9%
Bernie Sanders0.5%Not Bernie Sanders99.6%
Chris Murphy0.7%Not Chris Murphy99.4%
Cory Booker0.6%Not Cory Booker99.5%
Elissa Slotkin0.5%Not Elissa Slotkin99.6%
Gavin Newsom15.0%Not Gavin Newsom86.0%
Gina Raimondo0.1%Not Gina Raimondo100.0%
Graham Platner0.1%Not Graham Platner100.0%
Gretchen Whitmer0.9%Not Gretchen Whitmer99.2%
Hillary Clinton0.2%Not Hillary Clinton99.9%
Hunter Biden0.5%Not Hunter Biden99.7%
J.B. Pritzker1.8%Not J.B. Pritzker98.3%
James Talarico1.7%Not James Talarico98.4%
Jared Polis0.2%Not Jared Polis99.9%
Jasmine Crockett0.1%Not Jasmine Crockett100.0%
John Fetterman0.2%Not John Fetterman99.9%
Jon Ossoff18.0%Not Jon Ossoff83.0%
Jon Stewart0.8%Not Jon Stewart99.3%
Josh Shapiro4.6%Not Josh Shapiro95.5%
Kamala Harris8.9%Not Kamala Harris91.3%
LeBron James0.1%Not LeBron James100.0%
Liz Cheney0.1%Not Liz Cheney100.0%
Mark Cuban0.8%Not Mark Cuban99.3%
Mark Kelly5.3%Not Mark Kelly94.9%
Michelle Obama1.2%Not Michelle Obama98.9%
Pete Buttigieg4.8%Not Pete Buttigieg95.3%
Phil Murphy0.1%Not Phil Murphy100.0%
Rahm Emanuel3.7%Not Rahm Emanuel96.4%
Raphael Warnock0.8%Not Raphael Warnock99.3%
Ro Khanna2.1%Not Ro Khanna98.0%
Roy Cooper0.3%Not Roy Cooper99.8%
Ruben Gallego0.5%Not Ruben Gallego99.6%
Stephen A. Smith0.6%Not Stephen A. Smith99.5%
Tim Walz0.1%Not Tim Walz100.0%
Wes Moore2.6%Not Wes Moore97.6%
Zohran Mamdani0.2%Not Zohran Mamdani99.9%
- Closes
- 7 Nov 2028
- Quote type
- Source order-book offer
Independent market research
Displayed values are source observations captured for the publication and may include executable-style offers or platform-reported indicative probabilities. They may have changed since observation. Apparent differences do not establish that transactions could be executed simultaneously or profitably. Contract wording, eligibility, fees, limits and settlement processes remain platform-specific.
Outcome-level source ranges
Outcome ranges and best source values are shown in the Summary table above so each named contract remains aligned with its source evidence.
Details and methodology
How this prediction market comparison was compared
For Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028, Prediction Market Radar aligned compatible source markets from Polymarket and Kalshi around the same real-world event or outcome. Each named outcome is retained separately so prices are not attached to the wrong outcome. Differences may still reflect new information, participants, wording, deadlines and market liquidity. Before acting, verify exact proposition, outcome wording, deadline and resolution source on every source platform.
- Topic
- Politics & Elections
- Participating platforms
- PolymarketKalshi
- Outcomes
- 39
Market context
What Super Match checks
Super Match keeps source wording, outcomes, deadlines and settlement evidence attached to each offer. Similar headlines are not treated as equivalent when those details conflict.
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